Iraq and the United Arab Emirates are viewed as the most likely beneficiaries should Iran withdraw from the World Cup. Fifa’s general secretary, Mattias Grafström, said on Saturday that “our focus is to have a safe World Cup with everybody participating”, but the president of the Iranian Football Federation, Mehdi Taj, has raised doubts over his country’s participation by saying: “After this attack, we cannot be expected to look forward to the World Cup with hope.”
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Iran has targeted energy assets in some countries, including Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Kuwait, but those are moderated, seemingly calculated attacks thus far, Reed said. If Iran and its proxies—Hezbollah and the Houthis—launch a barrage of attacks on energy production and exporting facilities, then the worst-case scenario could unfold.